Go Back   Georgia Outdoor News Forum > Woody's Campfire Talk > Political Forum

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-20-2012, 03:35 PM
dwhee87's Avatar
dwhee87 dwhee87 is offline
 
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Just ask NSA
iTrader: (6) Check/Add Feedback
Default What Polls Would Look Like if Corrected for Oversampling

The Examiner is claiming many major polling firms are oversampling Democrats. Rasmussen Reports measures the electorate at 37.6 percent Republicans, 33.3 percent Democrats and 29.2 percent independents.

Romney is winning 90% of Republicans and Obama is winning 90% of Democrats. Romney is winning independents by 8 to 14 percent, but he is behind in many prominent polls.
That is because their sample includes 6.5% more Democrats than independents.

This chart demonstrates what recent polls would look like if they used the Rasmussen measure of the electorate.
Attached Images
 
__________________
“During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act” - George Orwell
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-20-2012, 03:39 PM
waddler's Avatar
waddler waddler is offline
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Bogart, GA
iTrader: (0) Check/Add Feedback
Default

Why the sudden elevation of interest in polling tehniques? They have been the same all along and for some time now.
__________________
Forum Motto: "If I am one, You are a Bigger One."
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 09-20-2012, 03:42 PM
dwhee87's Avatar
dwhee87 dwhee87 is offline
 
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Just ask NSA
iTrader: (6) Check/Add Feedback
Default

Just showing that as always, what they show is not necessarily the opinion of The People. It's the opinion of the sample.
__________________
“During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act” - George Orwell
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 09-20-2012, 03:58 PM
Randy's Avatar
Randy Randy is offline
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Griffin Ga
iTrader: (9) Check/Add Feedback
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by waddler View Post
Why the sudden elevation of interest in polling tehniques? They have been the same all along and for some time now.
You just hate it when all the truth comes out and they aren't bent by the media don't you.
__________________
I only envy those who catch more fish than me.-Issac Walton
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 09-20-2012, 04:23 PM
waddler's Avatar
waddler waddler is offline
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Bogart, GA
iTrader: (0) Check/Add Feedback
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Randy View Post
You just hate it when all the truth comes out and they aren't bent by the media don't you.
Randy,

On baloney like that everyone has their own TRUTH.

It is simply propaganda. Don't be so naive.

Next week the Dems will have them one. Stick with Gallup. If you just gotta follow a poll.

__________________
Forum Motto: "If I am one, You are a Bigger One."
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 09-20-2012, 04:39 PM
dwhee87's Avatar
dwhee87 dwhee87 is offline
 
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Just ask NSA
iTrader: (6) Check/Add Feedback
Default

So what makes Gallup any better than Rasmussen?
__________________
“During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act” - George Orwell
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 09-20-2012, 04:40 PM
elfiii's Avatar
elfiii elfiii is offline
Admin
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: The country formerly known as America
iTrader: (0) Check/Add Feedback
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by waddler View Post
Stick with Gallup. If you just gotta follow a poll.

Gallup is the worst for over sampling Democrats.
__________________
Burn It Down!
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 09-21-2012, 05:34 AM
Fire Eater's Avatar
Fire Eater Fire Eater is offline
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Dahlonega
iTrader: (0) Check/Add Feedback
Default

Public opinion polls are worthless in an era in which most people have cell phones only...pollsters have been slow to adjust their methodology to compensate.

Public opinion polls also fail to fully consider the hardening of ethnic voting blocs around a particular party...and how TURNOUT among these groups will affect the outcome.

This race will be decided by a few percentage points in a few states...Romney and his handlers had better get on the stick and motivate the only large reservoir of voters friendly to them...the shrinking but still majority of middle and working class Whites. Nebulous promises to "la Raza" won't get it.

Last edited by Fire Eater; 09-21-2012 at 05:34 AM. Reason: spelling
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 09-21-2012, 06:13 AM
Dudley Do-Wrong's Avatar
Dudley Do-Wrong Dudley Do-Wrong is offline
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Warner Robins, Ga
iTrader: (5) Check/Add Feedback
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by waddler View Post
Stick with Gallup. If you just gotta follow a poll.

Oh, stick with the poll that all of a sudden had a dramatic change after the justice dept threatened to sue them (because Obama didn't like the results)?
__________________
Nothing makes for great American politics like ignorant, uninformed good intentions in the voting booth.
-pbradley
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 09-21-2012, 06:33 AM
MudDucker's Avatar
MudDucker MudDucker is offline
GONetwork Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Lowndes County, Georgia
iTrader: (3) Check/Add Feedback
Default

The only way to keep the sinking stinking ship Obummer looking like it can move forward is by telling lies. I see so few Obummer 2012 stickers that it is not even funny. One and done!
__________________
November 2012, a date that will live in infamy. The idiots won!
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 10:21 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.7.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright 2004 Georgia Outdoor News, Inc.Ad Management by RedTyger