I am not sure I agree.
I am paying the same or less now in SC than I was paying 7 years ago.
One of my landowners has agreed to a decrease when his daughter graduates college and she only has one class left. Maybe in 2019 I get a break on that lease.
One of my landowners agreed to a two year 12.5% decrease (2018 and 2019) in lease fees because they clear cut about 55 acres of 260 acres total on that tract - and he granted me 6 additional prime acres of food plot ground (land that was in crop rotation until 2016 and is slated for pines).
One of my landowners in Illinois charged me the first year and now will not let me pay him at all.
My primary landowner in Illinois - I asked him if we needed to adjust the lease costs upwards in 2018 and he flatly refused - so these costs have been the same for 5 years - and he let me hunt the first year free “just to see if I liked it”.
A nice F150 was $11k in 1989, that same truck today would be - what - about $40k? Call it $35k ( which I think is low) it still costs 3x + as much and that was less than 30 years ago.
Nothing goes down in price, generally.
Some land in the Midwest is down - in the early 2000’s, land in and around Pike County Illinois was routinely $40-$50 acre. Not so any more, at least for the most part. It is still very high, but it is one of the premier places on the planet to deer hunt.
If you are paying between $12 to $16 per acre for decent ground in the south, I think you are about spot on.
Midwest - you can plan on $20 to $35 for a good farm that has a decent mix of tillable and timber.
IMHO, we are still in the good old days. Find good landowners and them give them great respect and treatment and you should do ok.
Can u lose your lease?
Of course you can.
Are you less likely to lose it?
Of course you are.
Best of luck to all!
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Bingo!!!
ETA: Also remember that the cost of owning the property goes up for the landowner every year as well.