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Old 12-29-2017, 08:15 PM
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Default ***General Weather Discussion #10 for 2017 / 2018***

The pattern is full... we need to land this bird.
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Old 12-29-2017, 08:23 PM
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Repeating my argument here for those that miss it on the locked thread.

The critical question that needs to be answered is the altitude of the moisture and can the air support the moisture. Temps during the estimated timing of this event will be in a favorable range at the surface up to perhaps 850 mb, but the way a low pressure system distributes moisture is by taking in moisture from the surface and dispersing it at altitude creating rain, or in this case snow. At 500mb the air temperature will be in the -27 to -31 celsius range. For this argument we will use -30 celsius which translates to -22 degrees Fahrenheit over the region where the 12k NAM is projecting snow. Moisture evaporates at that temperature and doesn't stand a chance. If the moisture intrudes the area at 700mb height the temps are projected to be -12 celsius or 10 degrees fahrenheit. This is a marginal range to support moisture transfer to the surface. If the moisture comes over us at 850mb the temps will be around -8 celsius or 17 degrees fahrenheit. The other thing to consider is this is a progressive tropopause that will be deepening with every hour that passes so temps at altitude won't be static and will be getting colder as the day goes on. Further minimizing the chances for moisture transfer to the surface. IF the moisture is in place before the tropopause deepens over our area then chances are good, but looking at the EURO temp maps at differing altitudes the chances aren't good. I believe this is what the NAM 3km is recognizing by showing rain at lower latitudes in Georgia where it is possible for the atmosphere to support it. We are at a point now where model agreement between the NAM 3km and the EURO should start coming together over the next 24 hours and will have a much clearer picture of what our potential is.
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Old 12-29-2017, 08:24 PM
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Old 12-29-2017, 09:20 PM
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So you are saying there is a chance! Lol. 3D is starting #10 that is telling me that he is interested in what's going on . I SAY, IT IS GREAT,TO BE, A GEORGIA BULLDOG!!!
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Old 12-29-2017, 09:28 PM
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Since no one else can forecast the weather correctly. I'll stay tuned to this forecast
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Old 12-30-2017, 07:04 AM
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Well now, isn't this interesting. (Personally I think it's bunk)

A shot at snow in South Ga, according to the EURO. I don't see it happening at all, with temps aloft from 700mb on up too cold to support moisture. But from 850mb on down they can. Here's the kicker, the EURO is showing some freak cold air pooling at the surface that I don't know where they got and then it's warmer at 925mb then colder again at 850mb. So IF any moisture survived to fall here AND that mystical cold air pooling showed up you would more than likely looking at a 3 to 4 hour icing event instead of snow.

But like I said, I'm not buying any of it.
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Old 12-30-2017, 11:22 AM
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I'm cold
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Old 12-30-2017, 12:14 PM
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Dry clear and cold
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Old 12-30-2017, 04:51 PM
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Local Met is buying it. Don't bring us down Miggy. Even unlikely chances are all we get down here in Coffee Co.
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Old 12-30-2017, 06:00 PM
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You know it's cold outside when you walk outside and it's cold....

~signed, Capt Obvious
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Old 12-31-2017, 07:49 AM
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Local Met is buying it. Don't bring us down Miggy. Even unlikely chances are all we get down here in Coffee Co.
Sorry, Euro even took it away after the 00z run. With the exception of a little blurb around Waycross it ain't gunna happen, and even that one ain't gunna happen cause everyone knows the temps comin out of that big ol swamp are warmer than the surrounding land.
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Old 12-31-2017, 08:34 AM
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Glad i skipped hunting this morning.... Its a little brrrrisk out
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Old 12-31-2017, 09:39 AM
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41 degrees with a light steady rain here in the woods. Deer are moving real good.
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Old 12-31-2017, 12:05 PM
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Local forecast here = highs in the 20s, maybe teens, and lows in single digits all week. Brrr.
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Old 12-31-2017, 12:07 PM
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41 degrees with a light steady rain here in the woods. Deer are moving real good.
Good duck hunt this morning and about to go sit in a deer stand the rest of the day.
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Old 12-31-2017, 01:10 PM
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Good duck hunt this morning and about to go sit in a deer stand the rest of the day.


Good weather for a duck hunt. I came out just long enough to eat, and I`ll be headed back to the stand shortly. I lost count at 10 deer this morning. They were chasing all over the woods.
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Old 12-31-2017, 01:18 PM
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Good weather for a duck hunt. I came out just long enough to eat, and I`ll be headed back to the stand shortly. I lost count at 10 deer this morning. They were chasing all over the woods.
I can remember back when you were still able to count past 10, Ol Let's'em Walk.

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Old 12-31-2017, 01:24 PM
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I can remember back when you were still able to count past 10, Ol Let's'em Walk.



Can you believe that I was called a brown it`s down hunter not long ago?

I asked for cold weather for this winter. looks like I`m getting it.
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Old 12-31-2017, 01:31 PM
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Can you believe that I was called a brown it`s down hunter not long ago?

I asked for cold weather for this winter. looks like I`m getting it.
No way.....

Glad y'all gettin some nice hunting temps down that way.

Good Hunting, Nic!
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Old 12-31-2017, 02:27 PM
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25 with snow showers here right now.
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Old 12-31-2017, 03:29 PM
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Can you believe that I was called a brown it`s down hunter not long ago?

I asked for cold weather for this winter. looks like I`m getting it.
Ain't nothin more miserable than sweatin, swattin skeeters and gnats while trying to hunt.
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Old 12-31-2017, 04:06 PM
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Ain't nothin more miserable than sweatin, swattin skeeters and gnats while trying to hunt.
You aint kiddin... 33 was the high here today! Love love love it!
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Old 12-31-2017, 04:15 PM
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Is it going to get Cold enough to Kill some of the Bugs this year???
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Old 12-31-2017, 04:22 PM
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41* here was the high
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Old 12-31-2017, 06:01 PM
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41* here was the high
30 was our high at about 1:30. It's 25 now with 80% humidity and it's gonna be low teens by morning. I'm taking my 7 year old to sit in a blind tomorrow. Gonna have the Buddy heater fired up!
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