**** General Weather Discussion Thread #8 2017***

[StriperrHunterr]

Shush it fish fingers.

It's okay, maybe it'll be too cold for this stuff to stick and we'll all make it through okay.

 

[ChrisLakeCountry]

Shush it fish fingers.

"Ground is just to cold"

 

[nickel back]

You can see it on Twitter too if you don't trust yo-sef with Facebook.

....

 

[DDD]

The Metshack is updated. Basically went with what will keep this from happening. That's the question mark right now.

 

[DDD]

18Z NAM backs off the totals a little... still same general idea.

 

[nickel back]

dang temps......

 

[Miguel Cervantes]

18Z NAM backs off the totals a little... still same general idea.

About time. 10" in Columbus Ga was a bit extreme. the NAM is now more in line with the GFS and EURO in total potential.

 

[DDD]

About time. 10" in Columbus Ga was a bit extreme. the NAM is now more in line with the GFS and EURO in total potential.

Looks very much like the EURO.

I am still expecting it to come back NW when it's all said and done.

 

[Nicodemus]

It`s 51 here but it for sure feels colder.

 

[DDD]

Due to ground temps, surface temps and evaporation... I think we are probably only looking at 1-2" where it's heaviest. I think we will see places that have 5" fall out of the sky but only measure 1".

 

[nickel back]

oh yea.....go away warm nose

 

[HuntinMaconCO]

I have read back through the post but, may have missed it. What is the timing on all this?

 

[Miguel Cervantes]

Due to ground temps, surface temps and evaporation... I think we are probably only looking at 1-2" where it's heaviest. I think we will see places that have 5" fall out of the sky but only measure 1".

I measured a ground temp of 55°f at 2:15 today. Will check it again in the morning. Surface temps have fallen 5°f since noon today. Should be interesting.

 

[Miguel Cervantes]

I have read back through the post but, may have missed it. What is the timing on all this?

Click on around the campfire / the Met Shack and read DDD's latest on this event. That is where we put all of the what not's and where to for's and such.

 

[DDD]

Boys and girls... get a load of the high resolution NAM now that it's in range.

 

[Trigabby]

I remember back at the snow jam, '82.. I was playing softball that morning and the temp was in the low 60's if memory serves... By 1 pm, we were sliding in the snow on the way home and I was still wearing shorts... Rates will be the difference maker here, I believe...

 

[Buckfever 2]

Looks very much like the EURO.

I am still expecting it to come back NW when it's all said and done.

Why are you expecting it to come back NW ?

 

[Miguel Cervantes]

I remember back at the snow jam, '82.. I was playing softball that morning and the temp was in the low 60's if memory serves... By 1 pm, we were sliding in the snow on the way home and I was still wearing shorts... Rates will be the difference maker here, I believe...

You are 100% correct. The higher the humidity the faster the convective cooling will take place at the surface.

 

[DDD]

So the Kuchera Ratio is probably a "safe" way to go. This is off the 3K NAM.

If you know where you live you can roughly figure out how much it says you will cash in on.

News outlets are not going all in yet and there is a lot of information flying. It's going to be an interesting event for sure.

 

[StriperrHunterr]

Why are you expecting it to come back NW ?

Because they always do.